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MODELS / NFL

● NFL model

Start with the game.
Inspect the inputs.

Browse the upcoming NFL schedule, compare opponent-adjusted team ratings, and see exactly how the matchup baseline is formed.

Regular season only: Rankings, matchup statistics, and the fair line use regular-season results. Preseason game stats never enter the calculation. The prior-year anchor also uses regular-season games.

● The upcoming slate

Weekly matchups.

Open any game on its own comparison page to inspect the model, current market, every connected team statistic, and each team's league rank.

Checking current NFL markets

Looking for the latest spreads.

● Public preview

NFL power ratings.

Preview the top 10; members unlock the full league and every connected metric. Power is a point-based scoring-margin rating, not a predicted win total.

0 of 0 teams

WeakerAverageStronger

Red → white → green shows relative statistical strength, with lower-is-better measures reversed. Exact values and league ranks remain visible. Gray = unavailable or context-only, not poor performance. Colors describe current standing, not change since a previous update.

NFL power ratings by team
RankTeamDivisionRecord

Results source: nflverse schedule and scores. Market source: The Odds API across major U.S. books, refreshed every four hours. Live odds do not alter the numeric power rating.

● Transparent method

How the baseline works.

01

Adjust the results

Only completed regular-season games are included. Scoring margins are adjusted for the opponents played. Four average-game equivalents stabilize small samples.

02

Blend by games

Last season's regular-season rating is pulled 35% toward league average. Current regular-season results receive a weight of games ÷ (games + 4).

03

Set a starting line

Home rating minus away rating plus 1.5 points for home field (zero at neutral sites) forms the provisional spread. No preseason results are used.